To save plummeting ratings and the possibility of a defeat by ODM’s Raila Odinga at the elections, the powers that be which handed Mudavadi the UDF party have now hired long time political commentator and Sunday Nation columnist Mutahi Ngunyi as communications advisor to Musalia Mudavadi.
On his part, Mutahi has embarked on a recruitment exercise and has invited CVs from a team of jounalists to work with on this state-house sanctioned project. According to Mutahi, and going by all his recent comments, Ruto and Uhuru will definitely not be cleared to run for president and will not appear on the ballot paper. They, however, will play role of kingmakers and Mutahi’s role is to basically convince the GEMA nation to vote for Mudavadi enmass. The calculation here is that with Kibaki’s endorsement plus the Luhya uniting behind him (hence the Atwoli role), Mudavadi will whitewash Raila Odinga in a two horse race that they intend to wrap up in the first round.
Kalonzo is upset about this arrangements. The ground in RV is upping the pressure on Ruto not to go back where they removed him. But perhaps the most affected by this is Uhuru Kenyatta who has ordered that Mutahi Ngunyi no longer be given airtime at the K24 station because his comments are making the GEMA nation have second thoughts about the TNA gravy train.
Many alliances are being crafted and my sense is that this election may well be finished in the first round.
The ODM is currently keeping cards close and only the Kalenjin angle is being publicized as a way of sabotaging it before it happens. Ruto is caught between a rock and a hard place because he had already given his word to Uhuru and Mama Ngina (grapevine says in exchange for a huge amount of money). Aside from this, his people are demanding that he either runs, or if not running direct his support at a candidate most likely to accept his nominee for running mate and also most likely to implement land reforms that his people so much need in Rift Valley. Kalonzo is also under similar pressure to ditch the moribund G7.
It looks good for ODM unless they mess it up.