A short while ago, SC James Orengo, a close confidant of Prime Minister Raila Odinga moved to publish a facebook update on his page that was clearly aimed at calming the nerves of party supporters who are getting apprehensive at the lack of an alliance building on the ODM side.
The PM’s office had earlier in the day released a weekend campaign program that takes him to Western, Coast and possibly Uganda to receive an award, and despite the widely reported sealing of URP/TNA deal, the cool manner in which the PM is going about his business did not calm ODMers and have got keen political observers trying to figure out what the ODM will pull out next.
With TNA and URP having sealed a deal that is set for public unveiling this weekend in Nakuru, ODM supporters have been shifting uneasily on their seats especially after some civil society activists this morning unexpectedly withdrew a suit from court challenging the eligibility of Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto to run for elections.
During the history of multiparty politics in Kenya no other politician has aligned himself with other parties and individuals for purposes of advancing a political cause as ODM Party Leader Raila Odinga and it would be a surprise if the deadline for submission of pre-election alliance agreements passes with ODM going into the general elections as a single party.
There has been discussions going on between ODM and WDP, and the Standard reported yesterday that ODM’s priority was to bring UDF and WDP onboard as the ultimate weapon of neutralising the GEMA and KAMATUSA alliance that Uhuru and Ruto have been working to mobilise for well over three years now. Both WDP Party Leader Kalonzo Musyoka and UDF Presidential Candidate Musalia Mudavadi insisting that they both must be on the presidential ballot paper. What viable options remain for ODM if not these two?
This question will be answered in the next few days when the it is expected Raila Odinga will pull a huge surprise and unveil an alliance that will form one part of the two horse race he has consistently pointed out to voters. The ODM plans a historic National Delegates Convention on 7th December 2012 where the presidential nomination will dominate the agenda of the day.
It is a poorly kept secret in political circles but the ODM running mate ticket now appears the most attractive prospect for a majority of the candidates who were previously either going it alone or were inclined towards the Uhuru Ruto axis. ODM has remained the most popular party for the last 5 years as has its party leader in all presidential opinion polls.
The grapevine is saying a deal with ODM partner parties was sealed a while ago and an announcement was strategically held back so that the TNA/URP declaration does not pull the rug under ODM and alliance partners.