Ruto’s actual trial starts in a matter of hours. This thread can serve for links (video or script) on the trial and related analyses for the trials.
Of preliminary concern is the trial calendar.
Initially, Uhuruto’s 3 weekly blitz was going to create a Constitutional issue, and definitely a power vacuum, at least symbolically. The duo were also likely to both be out on December 12th, a day they badly want to use to wave the anti-colonial flag. This is a day set aside to bash the convenient boogeymen – Brits – who are blamed for insisting that PEV must be punished.
Ahmednassir has already started character-assassinating the British journalist (William Pike), a co-owner of the Star newspaper. It is a silly season where independent media must be intimidated from reporting the naked truths spilling from the Hague. Non-pliant White folks must be labelled spies and espionage agents. The coded dog whistle to the tribal base — ahead of anticipated chilling details from the court — is, “msisome hiyo Star, ni gazeti ya waKoloni! ”
This is essentially a sophisticated form of economic intimidation and sabotage, wrapped around anti-colonial protectionism targeting British-owned media. This economic warfare is surreptitiously unfolding in the financial and other sectors as well. We are officially touted as now facing East. The anti-ICC, anti-West propaganda is in full gear. It will likely be coordinated and regulated via the good ‘ol Daily Nation, NTV, K24, and KTN safely under good hands of Uhuru’s handlers – as exemplified by their choreographed performance during the last presidential election. The pro-Jubilee media rarely seeks truth about the dalliance with China.
Uhuru’s angry and emotional saber rattling at his Ruiru backyard was a choreographed prelude to a new 4-weekly ICC case roster — which will now have the suspects intermittently alternating between the dock and Ikulu at different times. Uhuru will rule for 4 weeks followed by Ruto another 4 weeks. Each suspect will endure a subdued 4 weeks of chilling revelations at the Hague followed by 4 weeks of saber rattling at home. Its gonna be a rocky ride for sure, where Jubilee’s rhetoric of national unity will unravel in real time on camera.
Watch out for the following:
1) Possible eventual absconding by one suspect.
2) Possible emphasis of OTP on Ruto’s case – thanks to archived evidence from none other than Kibaki’s men at NIS (formerly NSIS).
3) A gradual rise in international interest in these cases as the Syrian situation slowly diffuses.