BY-ELECTIONS VERDICT: Musalia Mudavadi’s UDF Outrightly Rejected

UDF attempts at spinning it’s embarrassing electoral debut simply will not wash. The recently concluded by-elections had been dubbed a mini general election. A dress rehearsal for 2013. And the results are now out! The UDF unashamedly comes up with this spin:

UDF in Huge Moral Win ahead of 2013 General Elections

It is double win week for the United Democratic Forum Party:

First: Its inaugural parliamentary battle, UDF gave its rivals a scare of their lives proving it had made major inroads into key vote-rich territories on the 2013 electoral map: The week just concluded parliamentary and civic by-elections showed the UDF was a formidable force that gave a huge scare to two major rivals, the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and The National Alliance (TNA).…….yada yada yada……..

The second major scoop  came from unlikely quarters when a meeting attended by two cabinet ministers-Energy Minister, Kiraitu Murungi, and Special Programmes counterpart, Esther Murugi- and Party of National Unity Chief Whip, Johnstone Muthama announced the party was considering backing Deputy Prime Minister, Musalis Mudavadi’s Presidential bid.The Alliance Party of Kenya (APK) announced it was just a matter of time before announcing support for Musalia Mudavadi Presidential bid……..yada……yada……yada

In the above statement published in its website the UDF alleges that the recent by-election in which it performed dismally were a huge moral win for UDF. The statement further goes on to assert how UDF gave ODM and TNA a scare of their lives. If only wishes were horses! Clearly UDF are poor at acknowledging and respecting the will of the people. The party’s face-saving assertions hardly advances it’s course. Neither does it uplift the morale of the few crestfallen supporters it has.

It is an absurdity for the UDF to make reference to the Ndhiwa by-election that the ODM has won with a landslide of 90% when as a party UDF was not even brave enough to field a candidate there. The question of the ODM Party Leader running scared because of UDF is neither here nor there. It is a brazen lie. Kenyans have now come to know UDF as party whose campaign publicity has been reduced to it’s leadership reading presidential condolence messages at funerals instead of fielding candidates in perceived hostile political zones.

The UDF statement totally ignores the painful loss of UDF candidate in Musalia Mudavadi’s own backyard in Kakamega County, Bukura Ward where  despite the entire UDF retinue  having camped there a whole four days in a row and his sidekicks dishing cash to the extent a UDF aligned MP was detained by wananchi at Bukura when caught paying bribes, UDF civic candidate, Mr. Andati, lost to ODM’s Mr. Nyangweso 1,195 to 1,850. The significance of this civic victory in  light of coming of county governments cannot be over emphasized.  Out of the 16 civic by-elections, the ODM won seven civic seats countrywide compared to five for TNA, two for WDP, and one each for FORD-K and New FORD-K respectively. The failure of UDF (and URP) to win any seats cannot be wished away given the publicity the two parties and their leadership have attracted lately.

The facts of democracy are that Kenyans have roundly rejected UDF candidates in the just concluded by-elections. Out of three parliamentary and sixteen civic seats, merely six months into the general elections, the UDF did not manage a single win. Coming from a party styling itself as a break from the past and being led by a front-runner in the presidential elections, this must be worrying times for Mudavadi’s sponsors and his campaign team. Even upstarting political projects like Eugene Wamalwa’s New FORD-K candidate got elected to a civic seat in Kaptega Ward (kwanza Constituency).  There is nothing wrong with losing in elections. But there is everything wrong in declaring that embarrassing electoral loses are “big wins” and “scoops”.

UDF’s statement goes further to gloat about how the Alliance Party of Kenya (APK) is now considering backing Musalia Mudavadi presidential bid. Smarting from an all round rejection, the UDF is now looking to find a soft landing for Musalia Mudavadi. A desperate Kiraitu Murungi has spent the better part of 2012 looking for what he calls “a driver” to sit behind the wheel of his political party. As a child of the 2nd liberation, Kiraitu remains perhaps the only of the young turks who has not declared an interest in the presidency. He lacks the ambition and self-confidence to go for top office himself despite having taken time to go through the rigorous steps of political party registration to register the APK.

Politically, Kiraitu has simply passed a vote of no confidence on himself. This comes even after another desperate political party, William Ruto’s URP, had offered Kiraitu Murungi the running mate slot, but even him could not bring himself to accept an offer from what is now commonly known as a state house project. At least on this, Kiraitu had the foresight to see that this is political suicide. Thus, for UDF to come forward to declare APK’s half-baked resolutions as a scoop is stretching it too far. Kenyans are not that gullible, they speak through their votes. The APK delegates themselves openly disagreed about how to fill certain positions that Kiraitu had reserved for certain bus drivers. Uhuru Kenyatta of TNA has been categorical that they not interested in joining up with APK despite constant wooing from Kiraitu,. TNA is also not interested in playing second fiddle to either WDP or URP. And they have electoral vicotries to defend their case.

In polite terms, UDF and it’s leadership can be termed as DOA (Dead on Arrival). 2013 will put that beyond reasonable doubt.


By Election Results

A look at the results from the by-elections for MPs

By Election Results

Its evident that in the strongholds, Ndhiwa and Kangema there are really no surprises, i.e TNA performed as expected and ODM did as well

However the result from Kajiado serve as an indicator that TNA is indeed a party that is gathering traction.

However back to the Kangema results, the dismal performance of the MSM candidate is a clear indicator that the Mungiki ties have a negative influence.

Overall these results indicate that all the other parties Narc-K, Wiper WDM, GNU, UDF, URP etc carry very little clout. Clearly the coming elections will be between TNA and ODM, and all the other parties will only be useful as spoilers or boosters.

What do you guys think